Romney's Rural Base: In general, the more rural a state is, the more likely that state is to vote for Romney. There are a few outliers: Maine and Vermont are very rural but also very likely to vote Democratic, and Texas and Utah are not as rural but are very likely to vote Republican. The battleground states don’t fit neatly in this pattern, either. Note how few swing states there are: Most states are likely to vote for Romney, or very likely to vote for Obama. *FiveThirtyEight (Nate Silver’s Political Calculus) uses statistical modeling to make educated guesses about the outcome of political races. Poll results and the trends in and results of previous elections are part of the equation. The results vary daily, based on available polling. Learn more at http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/. Graphic by Dakotafire Media • Source: FiveThirtyEight and U.S. Census

Romney’s Rural Base

By Heidi Marttila-Losure September 24, 2012

Romney’s Rural Base: In general, the more rural a state is, the more likely that state is to vote for Romney. There are a few outliers: Maine and Vermont are very rural but also very likely to vote Democratic, and Texas and Utah are not as rural but are very likely to vote Republican. The battleground states don’t fit neatly in this pattern, either. Note how few swing states there are: Most states are likely to vote for Romney, or very likely to vote for Obama. *FiveThirtyEight (Nate Silver’s Political Calculus) uses statistical modeling to make educated guesses about the outcome of political races. Poll results and the trends in and results of previous elections are part of the equation. The results vary daily, based on available polling. Learn more at http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/.
Graphic by Dakotafire Media • Source: FiveThirtyEight and U.S. Census